Memphis at Minnesota Game 4 Betting Analysis & Free Pick

by | Apr 23, 2022 | nba

Memphis Grizzlies (58-27 SU, 54-30-1 ATS) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (48-38 SU, 44-40-2 ATS)

When: Saturday April 23 2022, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota

TV: BSSE-MEM

Point Spread: MEM -3/MIN +3 (Opened MEM -3 at BetOnline - Fastest Bitcoin payouts on the web!)

Total: 232.5 (Opened at 233.5)

Money Line: Memphis Grizzlies -149/Minnesota Timberwolves 125

Power Rating: MEM -2

Probable Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies PG Tyus Jones, SG Dillon Brooks, SF Desmond Bane, PF Jaren Jackson Jr., C Kyle Anderson

Minnesota Timberwolves PG Patrick Beverley, SG D’Angelo Russell, SF Anthony Edwards, PF Jarred Vanderbilt, C Karl-Anthony Towns

Key Injuries

Memphis Grizzlies
Santi Aldama: Knee (OUT)
Dillon Brooks: Foot (QUESTIONABLE)
Tyrell Terry: Foot (QUESTIONABLE)
Killian Tillie: Back (OUT)

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota has no reported injuries at this time.

The Minnesota Timberwolves host the Memphis Grizzlies in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET at the Target Center.

Recent Form

The Memphis Grizzlies come into this game with an overall record of 56-26, placing them 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, Memphis is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 27-15. Over their last five games, the Grizzlies have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Memphis’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 119.0 points per game. Combined, the Grizzlies’ last five opponents are giving up 111.0 points per contest. Even though Memphis has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 115.0 points per game, up from the Grizzlies’ usual rate of 109.8. In game 3 of the series, Memphis made a comeback effort to pick up the 104-95

The Minnesota Timberwolves come into this game with an overall record of 46-36, placing them 7th in the Western Conference. So far, Minnesota is above .500 at home, holding a record of 27-16. Over the Timberwolves’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Minnesota’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 110.0 points per game. Combined, the Timberwolves’ last five opponents are giving up 110.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Timberwolves are allowing an average of 115.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 113.3.

Individual Player Analysis

As Memphis travels to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Grizzlies’ leading scorer is Ja Morant. Through 57 games, Morant is averaging 27 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 49.0% of his games. Against the Timberwolves, Morant will need to be on top of his game as Minnesota is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 38.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Karl-Anthony Towns leads the Timberwolves in scoring, averaging 24 points across his 77 games. Throughout the season, Towns has outscored his season average in 49.0% of his outings. On the season, the Grizzlies have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 49.18% of their games, giving them a rank of 13th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Memphis Grizzlies are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 31 of Memphis’s 41 games, leading to a winning percentage of 71%. So far, the Minnesota Timberwolves have played 47 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 47 times, by an average margin of -12.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Memphis Grizzlies and Minnesota Timberwolves have met up for 7 games. In their last meeting, Memphis picked up a 104-95 win.

How the Public is Betting the Grizzlies vs Timberwolves

67% are betting the Grizzlies against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 232.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Grizzlies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Saturday games.
  • Grizzlies are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite.
  • Timberwolves are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
  • Timberwolves are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Minnesota Timberwolves will have the tough task of trying to turn the page, after missing out an excellent opportunity to grab the 2-1 series lead. In the game, Minnesota jumped out to an 18-point first-quarter lead. However, in the 2nd and 4th quarters of the game, the Wolves scored just 12 points apiece. On the other side, the Grizzlies have to feel good about their chances in game 4, as they withstood a hot start from their opponent, only to pick up a 9 point win. In addition, they were able to find the win column, despite Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr, combining for a total of just 24 points. Look for Memphis to take a commanding 3-1 lead in this series, picking up the road win and covering the spread. Bet your Grizz vs. TWolves pick for free by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit up to $500 at Betnow Sportsbook when you use bonus code PREDICTEM.

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