NBA Picks: Grizzlies vs. Warriors Game 3

by | May 7, 2022 | nba

Memphis Grizzlies (61-29 SU, 57-32-1 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (58-31 SU, 44-41-4 ATS)

When: Saturday May 07 2022, 08:30 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, California

TV: ABC

Point Spread: MEM +7/GSW -7 (Opened GSW -6.5 at Bovada - You can bet games LIVE-IN-PROGRESS there and they offer a generous 50% bonus!)

Total: 225.5 (Opened at 226.5)

Money Line: Memphis Grizzlies +239/Golden State Warriors -297

Power Rating: GSW -7

Probable Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies PG Ja Morant, SG Desmond Bane, SF Ziare Williams, PF Jaren Jackson Jr., C Xavier Tillman

Golden State Warriors PG Stephen Curry, SG Damion Lee, SF Klay Thompson, PF Andrew Wiggins, C Draymond Green

Key Injuries

Memphis Grizzlies
Steven Adams: Conditioning (PROBABLE)
Desmond Bane: Back (PROBABLE)
Dillon Brooks: Suspension (OUT)
Santi Aldama: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Killian Tillie: Back (OUT)

Golden State Warriors
Andre Iguodala: Neck (OUT)
Gary Payton II: Elbow (OUT)
James Wiseman: Knee (OUT)

The Golden State Warriors host the Memphis Grizzlies in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:30 PM ET at the Chase Center.

Recent Form

The Memphis Grizzlies come into this game with an overall record of 56-26, placing them 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, Memphis is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 28-16. Over their last five games, the Grizzlies have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Memphis’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 113.0 points per game. Combined, the Grizzlies’ last five opponents are giving up 110.0 points per contest. The Grizzlies have been picking up wins, while holding opponents to an average of 110.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 109.9. In the Memphis Grizzlies’ most recent game, Memphis took down Golden State by a score of 106-101

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 at home, holding a record of 34-10. The Warriors have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Golden State’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 112.0 points per game. Combined, the Warriors’ last five opponents are giving up 110.0 points per contest. Even though the Warriors have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 112.0 points per game, up from Golden State’s usual rate of 105.8. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, the team fell to Memphis by a score of 106-101.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Memphis travels to take on the Golden State Warriors, the Grizzlies’ leading scorer is Ja Morant. Through 57 games, Morant is averaging 27 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 49.0% of his games. As Morant gets set to take on the Warriors, he could be in line for a big game as Golden State is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 51.67% of their games. This figure places them 23rd among NBA defenses. On the other side, Stephen Curry leads the Warriors in scoring, averaging 25 points across his 64 games. Throughout the season, Curry has outscored his season average in 45.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Curry will need to do so against a Grizzlies defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 43.08%. This figure is good for a rank of 6th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

The Grizzlies come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 110.4 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Memphis is winning at a rate of 69%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 13.0 points. On the other side, the Warriors hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 40 games as the better defensive team, picking up 31 wins (78%).

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors have met up for 6 games. In their last meeting, Memphis picked up a 106-101 win.

How the Public is Betting the Grizzlies vs Warriors

67% are betting the Warriors against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 225.5

More Picks: Boston at Milwaukee Game 3 Betting Predictions >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis’s last 8 games on the road
  • Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into game 3 of this Western Conference semi-finals series, I recommend taking the Grizzlies to cover the spread at -7. Even with the series shifting to the Bay Areas, look for Memphis to be up to the challenge of playing on the road. In today’s game, look for the presence of Steven Adams give a huge lift to the Grizzlies on both ends of the floor. In particular, he should help the team on the offensive glass and at protecting the rim. I like the Grizzlies ATS. Question: When you bet on hoops, are you laying -110 odds on your sides and totals wagers? OF COURSE YOU ARE! Did you know that you could be betting at -105 instead? MOST DON’T! Why pay more when you could be saving $5 per $100 you’re trying to win? This savings add up to HUGE numbers over the course of a year! Dump your overpriced bookie TODAY and start maximizing your sports betting at BetAnySports! You’ll be so glad you did!