Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets Pick ATS 3/2/22

by | Mar 2, 2022 | nba

Oklahoma City Thunder (19-42 SU, 36-21-4 ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (36-25 SU, 29-32-0 ATS)

When: Wednesday March 02 2022, 09:00 PM (ET)

Where: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado

TV: BSOK

Point Spread: OKL +13.5/DEN -13.5(Opened DEN -13.5 at BetNow - They offer Predictem readers a MASSIVE 100% real cash bonus up to $1000!)

Total: 226.5 (Opened at 225.5)

Money Line: Oklahoma City Thunder 650/Denver Nuggets -1100

Power Rating: DEN -13

Probable Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, SG Tre Mann, SF Vit Krejci, PF Darius Bazley, C Isaiah Roby

Denver Nuggets PG Monte Morris, SG Will Barton, SF Aaron Gordon, PF Jeff Green, C Nikola Jokic

Key Injuries

Thunder
No Reported Injuries

Nuggets
Vlatko Cancar: foot (OUT) Nah’Shon Hyland: ankle (PROBABLE) Jamal Murray: knee (OUT) Zeke Nnaji: hamstring (OUT)

The Denver Nuggets host the Oklahoma City Thunder in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 09:00 PM ET at the Ball Arena.

Recent Form

The Oklahoma City Thunder come into this game with an overall record of 19-42, placing them 14th in the Western Conference. Throughout the season, Oklahoma City has struggled in their 31 road contests, sitting at 10-21. Over the Thunder’s last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. During this stretch, Oklahoma City is averaging 115.0 points per game, 13.0 points more than their season average of 101.9. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 111.0 points per contest. A key reason for Oklahoma City’s recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 123.0 points over their previous five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 108.8. In the Oklahoma City Thunder’s most recent game, the team fell to Sacramento by a score of 131-110.

The Denver Nuggets come into this game with an overall record of 36-25, placing them 6th in the Western Conference. So far, Denver is above .500 at home, holding a record of 17-10. The Nuggets have played well over their last five games, picking up 5 wins. During this stretch, Denver is averaging 121.0 points per game, 10.0 points more than their season average of 110.5. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 112.0 points per contest. The Nuggets have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 108.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 107.6. In the Denver Nuggets’ most recent game, Denver took down Portland by a score of 124-92.

Individual Player Analysis

As Oklahoma City travels to take on the Denver Nuggets, the Thunder’ leading scorer is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Through 46 games, Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 23 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 50.0% of his games. Against the Nuggets, Gilgeous-Alexander will need to be on top of his game as Denver is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 37.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Nikola Jokic leads the Nuggets in scoring, averaging 25 points across his 55 games. Throughout the season, Jokic has outscored his season average in 51.0% of his outings. On the season, the Thunder have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 47.92% of their games, giving them a rank of 14th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Nuggets come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 109.8 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Denver is winning at a rate of 76%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 14.0 points. On the other side, the Thunder hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 18 games as the better defensive team, picking up 7 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, Denver picked up a 99-95 win.

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How the Public is Betting the Thunder vs Nuggets

67% are betting the Nuggets against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 225.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Thunder are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Nuggets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Even though the Thunder have a dismal overall record, they have been one of the better teams vs the spread. This success vs the spread has also taken place on the road, where they are 21-10. With a line sitting 12.5 points in favor of the Nuggets, look for the Thunder to cover the spread once again as their slow pace, helps keep their opponents from blowing them out. Question: When you place your NBA bets, are you laying -110 odds? YES! Of course you are! It’s been the tradition since the start of sports wagering! Did you know that you could be betting for cheaper? Why pay -110 when you could be laying only -105? Start saving big bucks TODAY by making the switch to a better sportsbook: BetAnySports!

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