Suns vs. Pelicans Game 6 Analysis & Pick ATS

by | Apr 28, 2022 | nba

Phoenix Suns (67-20 SU, 47-40-0 ATS) vs. New Orleans Pelicans (40-49 SU, 45-43-1 ATS)

When: Thursday April 28 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, Louisiana

TV: BSAZ

Point Spread: PHX -2.5/NOP +2.5 (Opened PHX -2 at BetNow - They’ll give you a special 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you use bonus code PREDICTEM)

Total: 213.5 (Opened at 214.5)

Money Line: Phoenix Suns -136/New Orleans Pelicans 114

Power Rating: PHX -4

Probable Starting Lineups

Phoenix Suns PG Chris Paul, SG Landry Shamet, SF Mikal Bridges, PF Jae Crowder, C Deandre Ayton

New Orleans Pelicans PG C.J. McCollum, SG Herb Jones, SF Brandon Ingram, PF Jaxson Hayes Off Inj, C Jonas Valanciunas

Key Injuries

Phoenix Suns
Devin Booker: Hamstring (OUT)
Dario Saric: Knee (OUT)

New Orleans Pelicans
Brandon Ingram: Finger (PROBABLE)
Zion Williamson: Foot (OUT)
Kira Lewis Jr.: Knee (OUT)

The New Orleans Pelicans host the Phoenix Suns in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the Smoothie King Center.

Recent Form

The Phoenix Suns come into this game with an overall record of 64-18, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. So far, Phoenix is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 33-10. Over their last five games, the Suns have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Phoenix’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 111.0 points per game. Combined, the Suns’ last five opponents are giving up 110.0 points per contest. The Suns have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 110.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 107.5. In the Phoenix Suns’ most recent game, Phoenix took down New Orleans by a score of 112-97

The New Orleans Pelicans come into this game with an overall record of 36-46, placing them 9th in the Western Conference. Throughout the season, New Orleans has struggled in their 44 home contests, sitting at 21-23. Over the Pelicans’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, New Orleans’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 110.0 points per game. Combined, the Pelicans’ last five opponents are giving up 108.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Pelicans are allowing an average of 111.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 110.1. In the New Orleans Pelicans’ most recent game, the team fell to Phoenix by a score of 112-97.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Phoenix travels to take on the New Orleans Pelicans, the Suns’ leading scorer is Devin Booker. Through 79 games, Booker is averaging 26 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 48.0% of his games. Against the Pelicans, Booker will need to be on top of his game as New Orleans is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 43.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, CJ McCollum leads the Pelicans in scoring, averaging 24 points across his 27 games. Throughout the season, McCollum has outscored his season average in 48.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, McCollum will need to do so against a Suns defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 47.62%. This figure is good for a rank of 10th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Phoenix Suns are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 35 of Phoenix’s 41 games, leading to a winning percentage of 83%. So far, the New Orleans Pelicans have played 61 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 61 times, by an average margin of -13.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Phoenix Suns and New Orleans Pelicans have met up for 9 games. In their last meeting, Phoenix picked up a 112-97 win.

How the Public is Betting the Suns vs Pelicans

67% are betting the Suns against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 213.5

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Suns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games.
  • Suns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Pelicans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
  • Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Phoenix Suns come into this game, with a chance to move past a pesky Pelicans squad and continue their pursuit of returning to the NBA Finals. To do so, Phoenix will need to win in New Orleans, where they lost their last game by a score of 118 to 103. However, even without Devin Booker, the Suns enter the game as 2.5-point road favorites. If they are going to close out the series, they will be looking for another strong defensive performance. In game 5, they held the Pelicans to just 20% shooting from outside. On offense, Phoenix got a surprise performance from Mikal Bridges, who put up 31 points in 47 minutes of action. Although the Pelicans put up a good fight in this series, look for the Suns to close things out, covering the spread on the road. Bet your Suns/Pelicans prediction and ALL your NBA playoffs bets for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit up to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook when you use bonus code PREDICT100 when registering for a new betting account!