Suns vs. Pelicans Point Spread Pick 12/11/22

by | Dec 11, 2022 | nba

Phoenix Suns (16-10 SU, 13-11-2 ATS) vs. New Orleans Pelicans (17-8 SU, 14-11-0 ATS)
When: Sunday, December 11th, 3:30 PM (ET)
Where: Smoothie King Center, LA, New Orleans
TV: BSNO

Point Spread: PHO +2.5/ NO -2.5
Total: nan
Money Line: Phoenix Suns +119/ -144

Notable Injuries

Suns

  • Jae Crowder (Out) Not Injury Related
  • Devin Booker (Questionable) Hamstring
  • Cameron Johnson (Out) Knee
  • Duane Washington Jr. (Out) Hip

Pelicans

  • Brandon Ingram (Out) Toe
  • Herbert Jones (Out) Ankle
  • EJ Liddell (Out) Knee

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Phoenix is 16-10 overall. When taking to the road, Phoenix has a mark of 4-7 and a win percent of 36.0%. Currently, the team is 4th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 13-11-2 vs the spread. Phoenix travels to take on the Pelicans, hoping to avoid their 4th straight loss.

In their most recent matchup, the Pelicans defeated Phoenix with a score of 128-117. Deandre Ayton scored the most points for the team with 25, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Suns were 1 point favorites going into the game.

Heading into the game, New Orleans is 17-8 overall. When playing at home, New Orleans has a mark of 11-3 and a win percentage of 79%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Western Conference. So far, they are 14-11-0 vs the spread. New Orleans will look to stay hot in today’s game vs Phoenix as they are the winners of 6 straight games.

After their win against the Suns, New Orleans will be looking to continue their momentum. Zion Williamson had a big game, scoring 35 points to help lead the team to victory. As 1 point underdogs on the spread, the Pelicans were able to come home with an ATS win

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Suns picked up the 124-111 win over the Pelicans. The Suns’ point margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 8.0 point favorite. So far, the two teams have split their season series, with each team at 1-1. Through the last 5 matchups between the teams, Phoenix has an ATS mark of 3-2. But, looking at the scoring margin in these games, an average of just 2 points per game separates the teams. Phoenix and New Orleans averaged a combined 226 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.

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Analysis

This season, the Bulls have loved to get up and down the court, as they are currently 10th in the league in possessions per game. However, this has not fully translated into the offensive success they are looking for, as Chicago is 15th in scoring at 113.0 points per game. Chicago heads into the game as one of the top 3-point shooting teams in terms of percentage. So far, they have hit 36.6% of their looks from deep. However, they are currently ranked just 30th in 3-point attempts per contest. On defense, the Bulls are allowing an average of 112.0 points per game, placing them 17th in the league. So far, teams have shot 36.4% on their looks from outside vs. Chicago. This figure places them 23rd in 3-point shooting defense.

Going into today’s game, DeMar DeRozan is the leading scorer for the Chicago team, with an average of 25.6 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 50.9%. The team’s second top scorer is Zach LaVine, who is averaging 21.9 points per game.

This season, the Hawks have loved to get up and down the court, as they are currently 9th in the league in possessions per game. However, this has not fully translated into the offensive success they are looking for, as Atlanta is 14th in scoring at 113.2 points per game. Atlanta has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 29th in 3-point shooting percentage at 32.1%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 30.1 attempts per contest. The defense for Atlanta has been mediocre at best allowing 113.85 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.43% of their looks from the outside.

Heading into today’s game, Atlanta will need a strong offensive effort from Trae Young and the team’s supporting cast, as Dejounte Murray won’t be available vs. Chicago. So far, Murray is averaging 20.8 points per game. Young leads the Hawks at 27.5 points per contest.

More Picks: Get our Chicago at Atlanta 12/11/22 betting odds & pick >>>

Betting Trends

  • The Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • The Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
  • The Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a losing straight-up record.
  • The Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

This is a bad matchup for a banged-up Atlanta team facing a Bulls team that’s in the midst of heating up. I’m taking the points with the Bulls!