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Week 8: Baltimore Ravens vs. Carolina Panthers Forecast

by | Oct 25, 2018 | nfl

Baltimore Ravens (4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS) vs. Carolina Panthers (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS)

When: October 28, 2018, 1:00 PM EST
Where: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
TV: CBS

Point Spread: BAL -1.5/CAR +1.5
Over/Under: 43.5

Takeaways From Week 7

The Ravens fell to 4-3 and 2nd place in the AFC North after a crushing 24-23 loss to the New Orleans Saints in a game that saw them surrender a 17-7 lead heading into the 4th quarter. The top-ranked Baltimore defense allowed two touchdowns and the game-winning field goal after going six games without giving up a single second-half touchdown.

Joe Flacco was not responsible for the loss. The Ravens cooled off in the last frame, but that was mostly due to conservative play calling. Rather than go for the jugular and keep putting up points in the third and fourth quarters, Baltimore offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg seemed more concerned with eating up the clock. Meanwhile, Flacco played well. He finished 23-of-39 for 279 yards and 2 touchdowns and went 6-for-6 for 66 yards and a touchdown on the Ravens’ final drive.

Justin Tucker’s missed extra point will undoubtedly attract a lot of finger pointing, but there are plenty of other places to place blame for the loss. In the second half against the Saints, the Baltimore defense was not the same juggernaut we’ve grown accustomed to seeing this season. New Orleans dominated time of possession and converted 4-of-7 first downs. The Ravens offense also did an about-face in the second half, converting just 2-of-6 third downs after going 4-of-6 on third in the first half.

Meanwhile, the Carolina Panthers erased a 17-point 4th quarter deficit on the road to hand the Philadelphia Eagles a heartbreaking 21-17 loss.

The biggest storyline to come out of this game has to be that the Panthers have some serious grit. Things were looking pretty grim right out of the gate as the offense put up just 22 total yards on its first 10 plays from scrimmage and Christian McCaffrey’s 30 yards on five touches were the only offense to speak of in the entire first quarter. The downward trajectory continued throughout the second as Carolina managed a paltry 83 total yards and were 0-for-4 on third downs by the half.

Where’s the downfield passing game? The Panthers’ inability to connect on the deep ball once again showed itself against Philly. Carolina had just one completion that went for more than 20 yards in the air Sunday and defenses are beginning to take note by stacking the box often.

The Carolina ground game is still not where it needs to be. While 121 yards rushing and 1 touchdown on 17 carries (an excellent 7.1 yards per carry average) might not seem like an issue, Cam Newton still led the team with 49 yards on 7 carries, while McCaffrey finished with 7 carries for 29 yards.

The Historicals

These two teams have about as little history as you could have in the NFL. They’ve met just five times dating back to 1996, and the Panthers lead the series 3-2.

Injury Concerns

For Baltimore, listed as questionable for Sunday’s game are G Alex Lewis (neck), CB Marlon Humphrey (thigh), CB Anthony Averett (hamstring), C Bradley Bozeman (calf)

For Carolina, listed as questionable for Sunday are S Da’Norris Searcy (concussion), DE Mario Addison (back), LB Andre Smith (hamstring)

 

When the Ravens have the Ball

Against a Saints defense that excels against the run and stinks against the pass, Baltimore put the ball up way more than they ran it, passing it 40 times versus rushing 23 times. Against Carolina’s 17th-ranked pass defense and 9th-ranked rushing offense look for more of the same.

When the Panthers Have the Ball

Carolina will be facing a similar situation this week against Baltimore as they did last week against Philly—going up against one of the league’s top rushing defenses. Baltimore ranks 7th against the run but 1st against the pass so Cam Newton could be in for trouble. The Panthers’ only chance could be a balanced run/pass ratio.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore’s last 5 games
  • Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • Baltimore is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games when playing Carolina
  • Carolina is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
  • Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
  • Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina’s last 7 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina’s last 5 games when playing Baltimore

Weather Report

Temperatures of 58 degrees are expected in this one under partly cloudy skies with 65 percent humidity and 7 mph winds from the west.

Rick Wise’s ATS Pick

Take the Baltimore Ravens -1.5 and play at a sportsbook that has huge limits and great player rewards Boomkaker.eu

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