Guaranteed Rate Field’s neutral environment means Griffin’s contact-heavy approach could get expensive against Murakami’s current home run tear. The moneyline at -126 prices Hudson’s 11-inning sample against Washington’s proven ability to score in this park. The full read is inside.
Joe Jensen
Pirates vs. Brewers Prediction: Better Team Getting Plus Money With Chourio and Yelich Out
Mlodzinski vs Harrison shows a pitching gap that favors Milwaukee slightly. The Pirates get plus money at +109 despite better season-long numbers while Milwaukee operates without Chourio and Yelich. Find out which way this one goes.
Yankees vs. Astros Pick: Eight-Game Win Streak Meets Arrighetti’s Zero Home Run Streak
New York’s +50 run differential is the kind of number that doesn’t show up by accident. The moneyline at -143 hasn’t moved to reflect their eight-game win streak against Houston’s -26 mark. The pick is inside.
Twins vs. Rays Pick: Woods Richardson’s 5.96 ERA Meets Scholtens’ Elite 0.98 WHIP
Woods Richardson’s 5.96 ERA and home run problems face Scholtens’ elite 0.98 WHIP in Sunday’s finale. The breakdown is inside.
Tigers vs. Reds Best Bet: Montero’s Edge Meets Great American’s Run Factor
The bullpen gap between these teams matters less than Cincinnati’s series momentum — 18 runs scored across two dominant wins. The moneyline at -112 treats this like an even matchup despite the Reds controlling every aspect. Find out which way this one goes.
Rockies vs. Mets Pick: McLean’s Elite Stuff Meets Quintana’s Command Crisis
Citi Field amplifies McLean’s strikeout stuff against Quintana’s walk problems. The pick is inside.
Guardians vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Cecconi’s 6.20 ERA Meets Corbin’s Control
Cecconi’s 6.20 ERA against Corbin’s steady metrics creates a bigger gap than the current number reflects. The full read is inside.
Phillies vs. Braves Pick: Sale’s Slider Edge Against Nola’s Command Issues
Sale’s slider posts a 31.7% whiff rate while Nola struggles with a 5.06 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. Find out which way this one goes.
Red Sox vs. Orioles Pick: Bradish’s Arsenal Edge the Market Is Missing
Bradish’s 10.08 K/9 rate and slider dominance create a pitching mismatch the -143 price undervalues. The pick is inside.
Joe Jensen’s April 25, 2026 MLB Recap: -8.7 Units on a 2-5 Card
Joe Jensen posted a 2-5 record on April 25, 2026, resulting in a loss of 8.7 units. Despite wins on the Giants and Rays, five losses—including a 3-unit setback on the Braves—made for a difficult night.









