Rays vs. Reds Total Play 7/8/22

by | Last updated Jul 8, 2022 | mlb

Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, July 8th, 06:40 ET

Location: Great American Ball Park

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Money Line: Rays -140 / Reds +117 (GTBets – Offers a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 and a sweet player loyalty program that rewards you for wagering at their sportsbook!)

Total Line: 8.0


Tampa Bay: Shane McClanahan (9-3, 1.74)
Cincinnati: Luis Castillo (3-4, 3.09)

Rays Projected Lineup

Francisco Mejía C
Kevin Kiermaier CF
Isaac Paredes 3B
Harold Ramirez 1B
Randy Arozarena LF
Yandy Díaz 3B
Taylor Walls 3B
Ji-Man Choi 1B
Wander Franco SS
Shane McClanahan P

Reds Projected Lineup

Nick Senzel CF
Albert Almora Jr. RF
Kyle Farmer SS
Donovan Solano 3B
Aramis Garcia C
Tommy Pham LF
Joey Votto 1B
Jonathan India 2B
Brandon Drury 1B
Luis Castillo P


Tampa Bay Rays: 45-37-0 SU / OU 40-39-3 / Run Line W/L 39-43-0
Cincinnati Reds: 29-54-0 SU / OU 31-43-7 / Run Line W/L 36-47-0

The Cincinnati Reds host the Tampa Bay Rays on Friday, July 8th at Great American Ball Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 06:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Tampa Bay as the favorite (-140), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Tampa Bay Rays are coming off a 6 run win over the Red Sox by a score of 7-1. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Red Sox to 1 run on 6 hits. The Rays lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 10 hits, leading to 7 runs. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 220.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Rays and Red Sox stayed below the over-under line set at 7.5 runs. However, for the season, Tampa Bay still has an overall over-under record of 40-39-3.

In the Rays last 5 games, they are above .500, going 3-2. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +3. Tampa Bay comes into the game struggling on offense, averaging 3.4 runs per game over their last 5. This figure is down from their season average of 4.38. So far, Tampa Bay has won over half of their 26 series played, going 13-11-2.

In their last game, the Cincinnati Reds picked up a 4 run win over the Pirates by a score of 5-1. For the game, the pitching staff held the Pirates to 2 runs on 5 hits. Offensively, they finished with 5 runs on 9 hits. Heading into action, Cincinnati was the favorite at -220.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 78 games, winning at a rate of 64.0%. With this result, the Reds and Pirates combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. Now, Cincinnati had an over-under record of 31-43-7.

Across their last 5 contests, the Reds are above .500, going 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +12. Cincinnati is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.8 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 5.00. Cincinnati has a below .500 series record of just 6-15-6.

Pitching Matchup

Shane McClanahan gets the start for the Rays, with an overall record of 9-3. In his previous outings, McClanahan has lasted an average of 6.13 innings, putting together an ERA of just 1.74. Hits have been hard to come by against the left-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.179. McClanahan is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 1.01 per 9 innings. Per game, Shane McClanahan is averaging 8.31, on a strikeout percentage of 36.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 1.56 walks per contest.

The Cincinnati Reds will send Luis Castillo to the mound with an overall record of 3-4. Through 11 appearances, Castillo has an ERA of just 3.09 while averaging 5.82 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.213 against him. Home runs have not been an issue for Castillo, as he is giving up just 0.7 per 9. On the season, Luis Castillo has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 25.0%. This has led to an average of 6.0 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.09 walks per outing.

Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati History

Today’s matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cincinnati Reds will be their first meeting of the season.

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Betting Trends

  • Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
  • Reds are 6-15 in their last 21 overall.
  • Reds are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.

Tampa Bay Rays at Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Headinng into Friday’s opening game between Tampa Bay and Cincinnati, the over-under betting line is set at 8 runs. Look for runs to be at a premium as Shane McClanahan has given up just 1 run across his last 4 outings. On the other side, Luis Castillio is coming off 2 outstanding appearances, giving up just 1 run across 13 innings. I recommend taking the under.

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