NFL Football Picks
Pittsburgh played maybe their best game of the season Sunday but it wasn’t flawless. There are still some things on the defensive end that need to be shored up if they’re going to avenge their Week 4 loss to the Ravens this coming Sunday. Are the Steelers that much of a better team than they were in week 4 and do they have what it takes to stay within a field goal here? Rick Wise gives his prediction.
While Mahomes is the vast majority of what make this offense tick, there are a number of crucial moving parts, many of which came out to play on Sunday. Kareem Hunt carried 16 times for 50 yards and added another 5 catches for 36 yards and a touchdown, Sammy Watkins, who had his biggest day in a Chiefs uniform, snagged 8 receptions for 107 yards and 2 touchdowns,Travis Kelce caught 6 passes for 79 yards and a touchdown and Tyreek Hill had three catches for 70 yards. Will it take this same balanced attack to cover the bookmaker’s 8 point spread? Rick Wise gives his NFL prediction!
Miami has controlled the ebb and flow of this divisional rivalry as of late as they have won four of the last five contests between both sides. In the last episode of New York vs. Miami, the Dolphins defeated the Jets 20-12 on September 16th at the Meadowlands. Sportsbook have the Fins favored by a FG to take it again. Keith Franks explains why the Jets are the play!
The Chicago offense was far from great, but they did enough to ensure the win after another dominant performance from the defense. Jets quarterback Sam Darnold was held to his lowest output of the season, finishing 14-of-29 for 153 yards and 1 touchdown, while the Jets ground game was stuffed for 57 total yards. That recipe against the Bills is why sportsbooks have Buffalo as 9 point dogs but can they put up a better game?
Maybe the betting public is again falling for the “Fitz-Magic” deal. As bad as Tampa has played and as well as Carolina has looked, the sportsbooks have reported that the public action so far loves the Buccaneers. 55% thinks that Tampa goes into Charlotte and keeps this game closer than the touchdown spread. 55% is a lot considering the favorite is almost always the way Joe P bets!
Home field advantage in the NFL is not one size fits all. Although there is a general narrative that home field is always worth 3 points, some teams have almost no advantage playing at home such as the 2 LA teams (the crowd in last week’s Rams vs Packers game was predominantly Green Bay fans despite a 7-0 Ram team), San Francisco and Cincinnati. So sportsbooks should price the Saints with a big home advantage right? Well, that stat also means the Rams are adept at playing against the crowd. Keith Allen gives his take and his free NFL pick.
After watching Houston in week eight, I came to a few conclusions. First off, the Houston Texas are good…real good. After starting 0-3, things looked grim for Houston but now they have won five in a row and find themselves in first place in the AFC South Division. Deshaun Watson is heating up and the Houston defense is also starting to come into its own. Even during the 0-3 start, Houston was competitive in all three losses with every loss was a by one score or less. The Texans showed character. Bookies and sports bettors are taking notice.
Sportsbooks have the Patriots just shy of a TD better than the Packers. For the Patriots to trade points with the Packers this week they will need continued success from their passing game, which ranks a 13th in the NFL, same as their rushing attack. Despite rumors they did not make a big splash at the Tuesday trade deadline. They are still well stocked at the receiver/tight end option, but will need an all hands on deck. An under-performing White, Edelman, Gronkowski or Gordon would immediate cause ripples felt throughout the rest of the offense.
The San Francisco defense certainly has its issues. We saw that just last week when it was on their dime where Arizona rookie quarterback Josh Rosen showed the first signs that he’s a real prospect—throwing a pair of fourth quarter touchdowns to beat the 49ers. Still, they’re on the rise and should be getting better. Oakland has a pretty good quarterback and some nice weapons like Jared Cook and Doug Martin, who had 72 yards filling in for Lynch for the first game. But with Richard Sherman back, blossoming youngsters like DE Solomon Thomas, S Jaquiski Tartt (questionable), LB Rueben Foster (questionable), and others, the 49ers’ defense can do damage. Sports betting sites have the Niners at -3.5. Can that defense carry the Niners to a cover? Loot has your NFL free pick!
We see an identity starting to form on the Seattle offense. Wilson is a fine quarterback, a real dual-threat guy in an era where that term is overused. Aerially, Doug Baldwin and Tyler Lockett are still a big part of the air-game, but we see guys like David Moore, Nick Vannett, and first-year Seahawk Dickson now getting involved. Chris Carson was over 100 yards on the ground, while Mike Davis combines for a nice 1-2 punch. Their run-game looks as good as it has since the glory days of Beast-Mode. Making it all come together is a line that has been playing a lot better. Can this Seahawks offense make up for the Seahawks’ defensive issues?
The emergence of Gordon has been a key reason for the Patriots offense breaking out of their early season slump, and he has emerged as a clear starter after playing 95% of the snaps on Sunday against the Bears. He is coming off his first 100 yard game. Can he help the Pats offense take another step forward on Monday Night Football? The Sportsbooks have this line set at Pats -13.5 and Mike Mann is set to give you his NFL pick!
After opening the season with a surprise loss to the Ryan Fitzpatrick led Bucs, and then getting lucky to get by the Browns, the Saints are now playing at a very high level. Over the last 4 weeks, Sean Payton’s squad is 4-0 both straight up and against the spread, including 3 road games and 2 as road underdogs. Winning tough road games in week 3 in Atlanta and last week in Baltimore should put to rest any concerns about the Saints being able to win outside of the Superdome. Are they primed to win straight up in this pick’em match? Keith Allen has a strong NFL Pick for the Sunday Night Football match-up.
Probably the best game on the card from a fan perspective is this Sunday’s Packers at Rams match. The NFL betting boards have the host Rams as -8.5 to -9.5 spread favorite with the total line at 56.5 points. Get handicapper Ted Walker’s predicted spread winner.
With Trubisky, Jordan Howard, and Tarik Cohen, the Bears have fostered a meaningful run-attack. Through the air, Cohen, Taylor Gabriel, and surging TE Trey Burton are all bunched up between 325-329 yards receiving, with Allen Robinson (questionable) not far behind. Against an average Jets’ run-defense and a secondary that isn’t very rigid, this could be a spot for the Chicago offense to thrive. Loot Levinson gives his top reasons for picking the Bears to win by a TD!
The Chiefs Defense played their best game of the year last week against Cincinnati. Kansas City played a little bit more of a bend but don’t break defense against the Bengals rather than being more aggressive and risk giving up big plays. They sat back and made the Bengals sustain long drives to put points on the board, betting that the Bengals couldn’t score touchdowns to keep up with the KC offense. If they utilize the same strategy will the Broncos be able to give a good game? Keith Allen breaks it down and offers his prediction.
Luckily for the Eagles, No. 11 Carson Wentz has been even better this season than he was last in terms of raw statistics, and if anyone can kick-start this engine, it’s him. Unluckily for the Eagles, they have no semblance of any running game and they are facing a defense that has only allowed 6 passing touchdowns all season. This fact is likely responsible for some of the sportsbook action on the Jags. Kyle Cash give his take on how many points this is really worth.