Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz Game 4 Predictions

by | Apr 23, 2022 | nba

Dallas Mavericks (54-31 SU, 49-34-2 ATS) vs. Utah Jazz (50-35 SU, 34-48-3 ATS)

When: Saturday April 23 2022, 04:30 PM (ET)

Where: Vivint Smart Home Arena, Salt Lake City, Utah

TV: TNT

Point Spread: DAL +5/UTA -5 (Opened UTA -5 at Everygame - Check out their 200% bonus on your first deposit of $25!)

Total: 211.5 (Opened at 211.5)

Money Line: Dallas +166/Utah -206

Power Rating: UTA -3

Probable Starting Lineups

p>Dallas Mavericks PG Luka Doncic, SG Jalen Brunson, SF Spencer Dinwiddie, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell

Utah Jazz PG Mike Conley Jr., SG Donovan Mitchell, SF Bojan Bogdanovic, PF Royce O’Neale, C Rudy Gobert

Key Injuries

Dallas Mavericks
Frank Ntilikina: Illness (QUESTIONABLE)
Luka Doncic: Calf (QUESTIONABLE)
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Foot (OUT)

Utah Jazz
Trent Forrest: Foot (QUESTIONABLE)
Udoka Azubuike: Ankle (OUT)

The Utah Jazz host the Dallas Mavericks in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 04:30 PM ET at the Vivint Smart Home Arena.

Recent Form

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 52-30, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 24-18. Over their last five games, the Mavericks have played well, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Dallas is averaging 117.0 points per game, 9.0 points more than their season average of 108.1. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 110.0 points per contest. The Mavericks have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 104.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 104.8. In the Dallas Mavericks’ most recent game, Dallas took down Utah by a score of 126-118

The Utah Jazz come into this game with an overall record of 49-33, placing them 5th in the Western Conference. So far, Utah is above .500 at home, holding a record of 29-13. Over the Jazz’s last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Utah’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 107.0 points per game. Combined, the Jazz’s last five opponents are giving up 107.0 points per contest. Even though the Jazz have struggled of late, they have shown improvements on the defensive end of the court, giving up just 104.0 points per game over their last five contests. This number is down from their season average of 107.6. In the Utah Jazz’ most recent game, the team fell to Dallas by a score of 126-118.

Individual Player Analysis

As Dallas travels to take on the Utah Jazz, the Mavericks’ will be looking forward to the return of their leading scorer in Luka Doncic. Through 67 games, Doncic is averaging 28 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 42.0% of his games. As Doncic gets set to take on the Jazz, he could be in line for a big game as Utah is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 53.52% of their games. This figure places them 26th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Donovan Mitchell leads the Jazz in scoring, averaging 25 points across his 68 games. Throughout the season, Mitchell has outscored his season average in 59.0% of his outings. Given that Dallas’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Donovan Mitchell should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Mavericks have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 57.14% of their games, giving them a rank of 28th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Jazz come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 113 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Utah is winning at a rate of 71%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 17.0 points. On the other side, the Mavericks hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 33 games as the better defensive team, picking up 18 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Dallas Mavericks and Utah Jazz have met up for 7 games. In their last meeting, Dallas picked up a 126-118 win.

How the Public is Betting the Mavericks vs Jazz

67% are betting the Jazzagainst the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 211.5

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Mavericks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Jazz are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
  • Jazz are 16-33-3 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Dallas Mavericks come into game 4 feeling good about their chances in the series, as even without Luka Doncic, they have been able to grab a 2-1 lead. So far, Jalen Brunson has picked up the slack in Doncic’s absence as he is coming off a 31-point performance in game 3. If Utah is going to even the series, they will need to regain their 3-point stroke, as they are coming off a game in which they hit just 32% of their looks from outside. Even though they are playing on the road, I like the Mavericks to cover the spread in what should be a tightly contested game. Bet your Mavs vs. Jazz pick for free by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit up to $500 at Betnow Sportsbook when you use bonus code PREDICTEM.