NFL Football Picks
Many feel that the Steelers are a great home team because of Roethlisberger’s success at home and struggles on the road. But the Steelers are only 3-7 against the spread at Heinz Field since the start of 2017. They have only covered the spread twice since losing Ryan Shazier in week 13 of last year. Keith Allen uses that narrative, and the sportsbook’s reaction to it, to find value in this Sunday play.
The NFL has the greatest athletes in the world, and this game will include some of those athletes Odell Beckham Jr and Saquon Barkley to name a couple, but Alvin Kamara week in and week out is the best player on the field. There are few line linebackers in the league that can stay with Kamara, and none of those wear a Giants jersey. Will Alvin make enough plays to get the cover? Keith Allen breaks down Saint vs Giants.
On Sunday, we saw some bad things from the Vikings. It was one of those results that could lead us off-track if we put too much weight on it. The Bills won by 21, a staggering feat for the biggest underdog to win straight-up since 1995. With only one win Minnesota is feeling the pressure to come into form as they take on the 3-0 Rams.
A big takeaway after last week’s Steelers game is that Ben Roethlisberger might possibly be the biggest home/road splits quarterback I’ve ever seen. This guy plays with confidence at home and looks like garbage on the road. Does he not like to travel? Does he get homesick? Does his giant frame not do well on hotel beds? It could be a number of things, but the bottom line is that this guy sucks on the road. Will he suck enough on Monday to allow for the TB cover? Let’s look at the numbers.
Loot Levinson feels the Cowboys were underestimated before the season while almost everyone had the Seahawks ready for their fishing trip in January. Loot is betting on the Dallas Cowboys +1 beating the Seattle Seahawks. The game kicks off at 4:05 in Seattle.
Matthew Stafford was able to turn things around with a three touchdown game against San Francisco. He’s looking forward to a match-up against a Patriots defense that ranks 20th or below in every major defensive category and over their last couple games against pocket passers have gotten lit up by Nick Foles and Blake Bortles. But the Pats win over 80% of their last 52 games after a loss… and they have Tom Brady as well as a 6 point spread. Mike Mann goes in depth.
The season has opened a little unevenly for a Niners team that rode Jimmy Garoppolo’s arm to a strong 2017 finish. Then again, a one-score loss at the Vikings and beating the Lions isn’t so bad for a team that hasn’t much to celebrate recently. 49er backers are getting 6.5 points versus the Chiefs, a full touchdown less than last time these two teams met.
A lot of us looked at the Rams with some restraint, as they were ballyhooed all preseason as big Super Bowl contenders. Granted, they improved drastically last season, winning their division, followed by a frenzied offseason, obtaining valued personnel. But are the Rams as good as they look? And do they look 7 points better than the chargers? We take a… look.
Last week the Raiders looked like they were about to give Gruden his first win since his Raiders reboot. They blew a third-quarter 19-7 lead with Oakland’s defense fading and the offense unable to keep pace. Denver sealed it with a FG. Miami has been better out of the block. The Dolphins came off a win over the Titans and then went on the road to beat the Jets on Sunday 20-1. Sportsbooks made the Dolphins a 3 point favorite.
The Indianapolis Colts and the Philadelphia Eagles will square off in an AFC vs. NFC collision where the South meets the East at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday, September 23rd. Keith Franks has an NFL pick and game breakdown.
Rodgers’ knee is not going to be 100% for several weeks based on reports from Green Bay and while he seems capable at many levels, the Packers are clearly less of a team without him at his peak. The Green Bay running game is pedestrian at best and not scheduled to improve against a Washington team that just held the Colts to 65 yards on the ground. Should the Packers be favored? Ted Walker analyzes the game and gives his free pick.
The Buffalo Bills and the Minnesota Vikings will square off in a cross-conference collision when the NFC North meets the AFC East. Keith Franks breaks down the game which he expects to be a dog fight and gives his NFL pick.
There was promise surrounding the Texans going into 2018. Houston returns players on both sides of the ball who would have been a big part of the success in 2017. We are talking about quarterback DeShaun Watson and defensive end J.J Watt. Both were shelved for the remainder of the season in 2017 when they suffered bad injuries. Both men are back in 2018 but the Texans have yet to get a W. Here is why Keith believes this is their game… and our cover.
The Titans are a wounded duck and the talent difference between these two teams is more than the Titans can overcome on a good day. Jacksonville would be a candidate to for a let-down week, but the Titans beat them twice last year so that should be enough to keep the Jags focused. But is it enough to win by a touchdown and cover the 6.5 point spread?
Opponents have scored a combined 32 points on the Dolphins in two games, with a TD coming on special teams. DE Robert Quinn is paying off, with Akeem Spence adding beef up-front. Rookie Raekwon McMillan gives their middle a boost to go along with Kiko Alonso. They have five interceptions through two games. And corner Bobby McCain is the only one in the secondary who hasn’t picked off a pass. Is Miami luckier than good? Loot Levinson breaks down the game and offers his pick.
This game sets up perfect for Baltimore. They are at home and have an 3 extra days to get ready for the game. They are coming off a bad loss on national TV. On the other side Denver has won 2 games in Denver, and travel for the first time in 2018. Denver’s altitude is hard for visitors to handle as seen by both teams having bad 4th quarters. The Ravens are the better coached team. Keith Allen goes deeper into why this game favors the Ravens on paper but is it enough to cover the 5 spot?