Seattle Seahawks (15-3 SU, 12-6 ATS) vs. Denver Broncos (15-3 SU, 11-6-1 ATS)
NFL SUPER BOWL SUNDAY
Date and Time: Sunday, February 2nd, 6:30pm
Where: MetLife Stadium - East Rutherford, NJ
by Bob, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: SEA +2/DEN -2
Over/Under Total: 47
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Sunday, February 2nd, we will have an array of new commercials, halftime shows, fireworks, snow, freezing rain, and a little bit of football, when the entire world tunes in to watch Super Bowl XLVIII. This season finale will feature the Seattle Seahawks and Denver Broncos facing off in East Rutherford, New Jersey to decide who will take home that precious Lombardi Trophy. There isn't much of a surprise here, seeing as how both of these teams came into this NFL season highly thought of after their minor successes just a season ago. The Broncos will be led by Peyton Manning, an amazing cast of playmakers, and an opportunistic defense, while the Seattle Seahawks come in relying on their stud defense, and methodical offense. The line sits this very second with Denver being favored by two points, and the total points set at 47. This game could go either way, especially since the weather will play a major factor. Typically, weather doesn't play a part in these games, but Commissioner Roger Goodell is trying harder and harder each year to destroy the NFL... playing this game outdoors in the northeast is just another baby step in that direction. Not only does it seem like the weather will make a difference, but now there is even word now that the game could possibly be moved to the following Monday, if the weather isn't permitting. What a mess, and it is all Goodell's fault. I guess you guys will never have to ask me my thoughts on the NFL's commissioner, but that's neither here nor there. On to our game.
The Denver Broncos are favorites to win this game, and the main reason for this, is the recent play of Peyton Manning. During the regular season, Denver finished with a record of 13-3 and earned the AFC's top seed. Denver's season long success was due mostly to them leading the entire NFL in passing. Peyton Manning passed for over 5,000 yards and an NFL record 55 touchdown passes. Not only did Denver throw the ball well, but they also gained over 117 yards on the ground per contest. Coming into this game, Denver will need a balanced attack. Snow, cold, and a great pass defense by the Seahawks will force Denver to play a clean game and not get too one dimensional.
Just like Denver, Seattle was the top team in their conference with a 13-3 record, and also like the Broncos, Seattle was considered a contender from day one. The Seahawks match up very well with Denver, and the main reason is because of their pass defense led by Richard Sherman. These guys can flat out play D, and they lay the wood pretty good too. The Seahawks only give up 170 yards per game through the air and their rushing defense is also ranked in the top 10 in the NFL. This breakdown is simple. Seattle must play their style of defense, but not only that, but Russell Wilson will need to play mistake free football and put up some points as well. Seattle's offense isn't one of the more feared offenses in the league, but they rank 4th in the NFL in rushing. This could play into their favor and help keep Manning and the Denver offense off the field if they are able to get a few first downs on each possession. Seattle reminds me of the old school, hard nosed teams of the 1980's. Solid D, great rushing attack, and a smart, heads up quarterback. We will see if they will have enough to get Seattle's first ever Super Bowl victory.
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Usually when doing write ups and analysis, I go into a little more detail on each team, but lets be real, we know all there is to know about Denver and Seattle. There is nothing I can tell you that you do not already know, so here we go, lets just break down our pick to win this thing. Like I stated earlier, the Denver Broncos are favored by two points over the Seahawks. Based on my research, 71% of bettors so far are putting their cash on the Broncos to cover the two. Why is this such a one sided bet? Is it because Peyton Manning is loved by the media and general public? Is it because in the Conference Title games that Denver made light work of New England, while Seattle had a down to the wire battle with San Francisco? Who knows, but something has the public going heavy on the Broncos. In my opinion, advantage: Seattle. Now, onto the weather. I am not one of these people who think "Peyton cant play in the cold." I have heard that many times and think its ridiculous, but, lets take a true look at it. When the temperature is below 32 degrees, Manning has a 4-7 career record...not very impressive, especially for a guy who has won nearly 70% of his games as a professional. Advantage: Seattle. Now, onto defense...you know the old saying, "defense wins championships." I believe it is true, and once again, advantage: Seattle. In my opinion, this is an easy pick. Fade the public, take the team with the better defense, and lay the points!!!
Bob's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I like Seattle a lot. This game will go down to the very end, but I like a hard fought 23-21 win for the NFC Champs. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +2
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