New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys Preview and Pick

New York Giants +6, o/u 44 at Dallas Cowboys 8:15 pm Eastern Sunday, NBC
by Zman of Predictem.com

The NFC East slate starts with a bang as the New York Giants visit Texas to take on the Dallas Cowboys in a season-opening Sunday night bout on NBC.

New York started last season by winning six of its first eight games, but then lost six of its last eight to finish at 8-8. The Giants then lost in the wild-card round to the Philadelphia Eagles, but retained head coach Tom Coughlin for one more season.

Dallas went 9-7 last season before losing at Seattle on a fumbled field-goal in the wild-card round. Coach Bill Parcells later re-retired, and was replaced this off-season by former head coach and San Diego defensive coordinator Wade Phillips.

These two divisional rivals have split their last eight meetings, including two last season. New York beat the Cowboys in Dallas 36-22 in October, and the Pokes beat the G-Men 23-20 in Jersey in December. The first game went over its total of 44, and the second game pushed its total of 43.

Also, New York outrushed Dallas in both those games by margins of 126-110 and 155-69.

The Giants ranked 14th in total offense last season (326 ypg), seventh in rushing (135 ypg), 25th in total defense (342 ypg) and 14th vs. the run (114 ypg).

The Cowboys ranked fifth in total offense last year (361 ypg), 13th in rushing (121 ypg), 13th in total defense (323 ypg) and 10th vs. the run (104 ypg).

Also, NY ranked 21st in average time-of-possession last year at 29:35, while Big D ranked 10th at 31:02.

New York is now in its first season of the post-Tiki Barber era. Brandon Jacobs is expected to become the Giants new main ground gainer.

Also, DE Michael Strahan sat out the entire pre-season, and his availability is uncertain for Sunday’s opener.

On the other side, Dallas WR Terry Glenn suffered a knee injury in early August and is out Sunday, and maybe for much longer than that.

New York QB Eli Manning completed 58% of his passes last season and compiled a 24/18 TD/INT ratio.

Cowboys QB Tony Romo hit on 65% of his throws last season and put up a 19/13 TD/INT ratio.

The Giants went 5-3 both straight up and against the spread last season on the road.

Dallas went just 4-4 both straight up and vs. the numbers at home last year.

The o/u went 8-7-1 in New York games last season, 9-5-2 in Cowboys games.

Dallas opened up as five-point favorites for Sunday night’s game, with a total of 44. The Cowboys have since been bet up about a point. Also, Dallas is listed at about -250 on the moneyline, with the G-Men getting around +220.

The Predictem Pick: Despite the line moving up with Dallas, we like the Gmen to cover the spread. This team is not as bad as many are projecting and Dallas is not as good as many think.