NFL Football Picks

Jaxson Dart is injured and Jameis Winston starts for the Giants. Joe Jensen takes Tennessee to cover the 2.5-point spread at MetLife Stadium, with the line movement and QB downgrade driving the play.

The Patriots defense ranks No. 2 in EPA/Play and just held Pittsburgh to 3 points. Joe Jensen takes New England to cover the 2.5-point spread at EverBank Stadium, with the elite defensive matchup driving the play.

Both defenses have been elite through two weeks. Joe Jensen takes the Under at Acrisure Stadium, with Pittsburgh’s offensive struggles and Cincinnati’s dominant defense driving the play.

The total has dropped 2 points since opening. Joe Jensen takes the Under at Lambeau Field on Thursday Night Football, with Atlanta’s offensive struggles and Green Bay’s ongoing injury issues driving the play.

Joe Jensen breaks down the top player prop picks for Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, targeting Kyren Williams’s ground game, Stafford’s efficient volume, and Dart’s limitations against the Rams pass rush.

RBD takes the Rams at home against the Giants on Monday Night Football, backed by his WF1 Wrong Favorites model and Los Angeles’s embarrassing Week 1 loss setting up a bounce-back spot.

Sam Darnold is out and Drew Lock starts for Seattle. Joe Jensen takes the Cardinals to cover the 5.5-point spread at State Farm Stadium, with the QB downgrade and Arizona’s Week 1 momentum driving the play.

Malik Willis was sacked five times in Week 1. Joe Jensen takes the Under at Levi’s Stadium, with Miami’s offensive struggles and San Francisco’s disciplined game management driving the play.

Both teams have gone Over in 8 of their last 10 games. Joe Jensen takes the Over at AT&T Stadium, with Dallas’s Week 1 defensive struggles and Jayden Daniels’s healthy return driving the play.

Jacksonville dominated Cleveland 34-10 while Denver was blown out by Kansas City 31-10. Joe Jensen takes the Jaguars to cover the 2.5-point spread at Mile High, with the Week 1 performance differential driving the play.