NFL Football Picks
Will the REAL Broncos please stand up! If you had Denver to win straight up at Houston last week, we’d like to slip you a job application. This team had just thrown up a 3-spot at Buffalo a couple weeks ago. Maybe their slim 4-point loss at Minnesota the prior week was an indication this team has rallied around young QB Drew Lock! This will be the second time they’ve faced KC, with the prior result being the horses being on the short end of a 30-6 stick.
This is a tough game to handicap as the Buccaneers will be missing WR Mike Evans and it’s anybody’s guess which running back coach Bruce Arians will favor. Generally speaking, losing teams (3-9-1) such as the Lions lose steam and motivation at season’s end. One also has to question the competency of Detroit coach Matt Patricia. We’ve got another Super Bowel on our hands here!
Week 15 Thursday Night Football features a game the lacks shine but could be a potential value bet. If one could say the Jets had a strength, it would be stopping the run, and that’s exactly what Baltimore is likely to attempt. That may keep things closer than the three score point spread of -14.5. Then of course there’s the legit question of can anybody stop Lamar Jackson?
A front line that pressures as heavy as the Eagles do vs. a QB that turns the ball over as much as Daniel Jones does is a recipe for disaster. Yeah, the Eagles dumped a game last week to the Dolphins. Don’t put too much into that. The Eagles never got off the bus and the Phins simply wanted it more. That won’t happen in Philly Sunday.
In one of Week 14’s better matchups, Seattle travels south to L.A. to play the Rams as one-point favorite. While not the best Sunday Night Football game this season, it promises to be exciting. Seattle barely got by a meager Vikings team last week. The same could be said for the Rams as they destroyed the weak secondary of the Cardinals. This game may very well come down to who has the ball last.
The Pittsburgh Steelers never seem to play as good on the road. Then again, that was under Ben Roethlisberger. This young Hodges kid isn’t bad. If Mike Tomlin uses his head, he’ll throw all day long vs. a Cardinals secondary that can’t stop ANYBODY. Look for the combination of James Washington and Vance McDonald/Nick Vannett to connect with “Duck” in the endzone in Week 14!
The Vikings didn’t look so hot in Seattle last week. Yeah, it’s a tough place to play and it’s not like they got smoked, but laying double digits (-13) to a division opponent after that effort is simply unwarranted. Leading up to last week, all we heard was how bad David Blough was. He sure looked good to me on Turkey Day! Good enough to bet on Sunday!
The Redskins had a heck of a win last week in Caroilna! Derrius Guice gave Washington fans a glimpse of what he can do when he’s healthy. Their Week 14 matchup vs. the Packers won’t be as fortunate. Aaron Rodgers is known as “bum beater” in the football betting industry. In short, this means that he has a tendency to destroy poor teams. The GB run opens the Rodgers passing game. The Redskins are 27th vs. the run and have a QB in Haskins that takes too long to make decisions. You won’t hear this often, but this double digit favorite is actually a value bet!
Did the Bills really go into Dallas and destroy the Cowboys last week? This has to lead one to believe this team is for real, as that was no easy feat. The Ravens barely got by the Niners and one has to wonder if they peaked too early. The Bills are a live dog Sunday and Keith is going as far as calling them the underdog of the week bet!
The Patriots look human! They pretty much got destroyed last week by the Titans. The final score wasn’t even close to indicative as the first 50 minutes of the game. Is Tom Brady turning grandpa right in front of our eyes? Is it possible that they lose two in a row and on their own turf? Hell yes!
The 49ers look to get back on track after a close road loss to the Ravens when they head to New Orleans to take on the Saints. The Saints hit the board as a -3 point favorite but betting action has driven the line down to -2.5 at some betting shops. Read on to get Horne’s opinion on where your money should land.
The Raiders have shown tenacity despite getting their teeth kicked in the past couple weeks. Now a Tennessee Titans team who is playing really well comes in with a fishly line of -2.5. This suggets the oddsmakers/bookies think the Raiders are going to win this game straight up. The general betting public can’t unload their wallets fast enough as the Raiders are seeing 65% of the action at the windows. Meanwhile, sharps/wiseguys are smiling, waiting for the number to be bet up to 3 so they can hammer it. Don’t fall into this nasty trap game.
Philip Rivers looks like a guy with two weiners, with one of them being attached to his right shoulder. Age is taking it’s toll on the signal caller but it’s not likely to matter in this game as the Jags have one of the worst run defense’s in the NFL and Anthony Lynn and crew are sure to take note. Expect Melvin Gordon to see 20+ carries and Austin Ekeler to also get some good run in a very winnable game for the Bolts.
Many industry insiders refer to touts as handicappers that flip coins to determine winners. This is true in many cases as many of these clowns don’t watch the games and can’t tell their ass from a hole in the wall. With the Panthers/Falcons being so bi-polar this year, even astute NFL handicappers may have to flip a coin to determine the winner on this one because both of these teams are unpredictable as hell!
All we heard last week was how much trouble the Broncos were in with Drew Lock at the helm. It’s always a good thing to watch some video of a player prior to trusting TV pundits. Once the smoke cleared, the kid was actually somewhat impressive hitting Courtland Sutton for some very sleek completions. Will this kid maintain the same composure in his first NFL road game? Loot gives his pick to cover this Week 14 point spread (+9.5).
Brace yourself for what you’re about to read! The Bungles are getting better! I was surprised to see the Browns laying more than one score (Opening Line -9) as it’s no secret that Freddie Kitchens is in over his head. The only thingthat stands in the way of a Bengals cover is upper management asking the team to tank to assure a top pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. And that could happen.