NFL Football Picks
This game is a re-match of last year’s AFC Wildcard Round contest where the Bills ended their playoff drought. Sadly for Buffalo, their season only extended one more week when the Jaguars defense led Jacksonville to a 10-3 win. Overall, the Jaguars and Bills have split the last four meetings between the two sides with two wins each. Which team is primed to make that record 3-2 in the last 5? Keith Franks has a moneyline selection for Sunday’s game!
Don’t look now, but the Houston Texans have won 7 in a row, and are now 7-3 with a 2 game lead in the AFC South. Despite the winning streak, Houston is not getting any of the recognition that teams like the Saints, Rams and Chiefs are getting for similar streaks. 4 of the 7 wins have come by less than one score, and bettors laying the points at their bookmaker have only cashed half of their last 6 games. Sportsbooks have the Texans favored inside a TD at -6
The Browns offense looked good in week 11. Offensive coordinator Freddie Kitchens drew up a beauty of a gameplan that allowed both Baker Mayfield and Nick Chubb to shine and give Browns fans a reason to believe that this team is truly on the verge of a turnaround. Mayfield finished 17-of-20 for 216 yards and 3 touchdowns and soared to his highest quarterback rating (97.1) and passer rating (151.3) of the season. That is in large part why sportsbooks are only giving the Browns 3 points. Is that enough? RW breaks it down!
The Patriots head to Jersey to take on the Jets for a Sunday afternoon showdown of AFC East rivals. New England has dominated of late with wins in twelve of the last fourteen games between the teams, but it is Gang Green who has had the upper hand against the spread with a record of 8-2 in the last ten meetings including five straight covers at home. Now that we have the ATS hocus pocus out of the way, lets dive into the matchup!
This Chicago defense is for real. Their front-seven is immense, with one of the best run-stopping groups up-front. And with Khalil Mack, Roquan Smith, Danny Trevathan, and Leonard Floyd at linebacker, they make a lot of plays. Mack has shown what he can do when the field is balanced with other star players around him. This might be the best Chicago “D” since they won the Super Bowl over 30 years ago. Will the Bears shut down the Lions or will the Lions manage to score like they did a few weeks ago? LL has your Thanksgiving pick!
A lot of people were surprised by the Cowboys 2nd straight road win last week. After going on the road to beat Philadelphia, the Cowboys continued on and took down the Falcons to climb back to the .500 mark on the season and within striking distance of the playoffs. Last week’s win over Atlanta was the most impressive when you consider the Cowboys defense held the explosive Atlanta offense to just 19 points with a makeshift defensive line. Most betting sites show Dallas -8 suggesting Dallas has momentum!
When these teams met in week 3 with identical 1-1 records in Atlanta, the Falcons were 4 point favorites. Both teams were considered top 3 teams in the NFC, both had an equal chance to be 9-1 coming into this game, and it would take a lot of injuries for one of the teams to be 4-6, but the Falcons were considered a slightly better team. Since winning that week 3 game in overtime, everything has clicked for New Orleans, and everything has gone wrong for Atlanta. Atlanta looks to turn it around as players look at the sportsbook’s juicy +12.
There is a paradox in the Tampa aerial-offense, as they constantly shift between Ryan Fitzpatrick and Jameis Winston. Last week in the loss to the Giants, Fitzpatrick was behind center, but after three picks, Winston was put in and threw 2 touchdowns, but also a pick. It might surprise some that Tampa puts up more yards aerially than any other team in the league. They put up a lot of points. But the mistakes are plenty, with Winston and Fitzpatrick having combined for 23 picks through just ten games—an alarming figure. Can TB throw the ball to players on their own team on Sunday? LL has your NFL prediction.
Sportsbooks FINALLY opened a line on this game yesterday putting the birds as 3 point favorites. Change is certain to be in the air in Cinci after last week’s blowout loss to the Saints. The Bengals have fired defensive coordinator Teryl Austin but you can also expect a shakeup on the offensive side. Exactly what that will mean for the offense is unclear, but Andy Dalton was out of sorts against the Saints without top target A.J. Green, who’s out indefinitely with a foot injury. He tried turning to speedster John Ross in Green’s absence but that was only good for 2 catches for 39 yards last time out. What can the Bengals do versus the Ravens? Rick Wise has his NFL prediction.
To simply say the Raiders are bad doesn’t do much justice. It’s been hard to watch. It is one thing to unload all your big talent in an attempt to build for the future, but the product they’re putting out there is majorly substandard. It’s bad enough to lose a bunch of games, but Oakland is now forcing betting sites to push the boundaries of good-taste when setting these numbers. Here they are only 4 point dogs but maybe that isn’t enough. Loot breaks down the match up!
The Chargers have been very tough at home since losing to the high-powered Chiefs in week one. Even so, after two straight on the road, the Chargers could be a bit weary. There have been some close calls recently. And even against the woeful Raiders last week, they didn’t get their act together until later in the game and had their season-low in total yardage. Can the Bolts get it together at home or will Loot Levinson convince you to pick Broncos plus the points?
The idea of forfeiting 14.5 million dollars might seem kooky to us and maybe it is, but that’s just what Le’Veon Bell has done by not reporting to the Pittsburgh Steelers by Tuesday. He will sit out the rest of the 2018 NFL season and presumably part ways with the team where he made his bones. Bell will be 27 in February and when he’s in in the game, he’s perhaps the biggest offensive difference-maker in the league. He’s always at the top of the league in rushing, with ball-catching stats that would be the envy of a lot of receivers. So he won’t come cheap. Books are starting to put up prop bets for which team Bell will sign with for the 2019 NFL football season. Let’s take a look at each team on the board, the odds, and how likely it is for each team to land the dominant back!
Sportsbooks have the Saints valued heavily at -7.5. Last week the Eagles failed to establish the run against Dallas and it’s one of the reasons they came up short. In the Jacksonville win they mixed things up well, attempting 30 passes to 28 runs. It was the opposite against the Cowboys, 44 passing attempts to just 16 runs. Which Eagles offense shows up Sunday? Rick Wise has his prediction.
While it took some time to come to fruition with a slow start to the season, the Minnesota offense is starting to look good and it could get even better. Kirk Cousins looks like he’s going to pay off this season, as he is getting a lot of his key guys involved. But the Chicago defense is getting better every game and Bears backers only need a FG to beat the bookmaker. Levinson has your NFL selection.
Atlanta’s defense is still banged up and still not playing at a high level and the Dallas Cowboys should take advantage. It’s starting to become evident that Dak Prescott is not the 2nd Coming of Troy Aikman and he is prone to making mistakes. The Dallas offensive success rests on their offensive line and the running of Ezekiel Elliott. If Dallas can get the run game going, that is when Dak is at his best. Can the Dallas offense move the ball and stay within 3? Bob Clark breaks down the game and gives his NFL pick.
There is always a chance with the Steelers when they are favorites – especially on the road – that they will lay an egg and outright lose a game they should win. But in this case, they have revenge on their minds. The Jags came into Steel City twice last year and beat the Steelers, including the playoff game that ended the Steeler season. The Jags had no hesitation about trash talking after both of those games, which should still be fresh in the Steelers minds. Is this narrative enough to give your bookie action on the Steelers -6? Keith Allen gives his NFL pick.