NFL Football Picks

The Dallas defense has been a very pleasant surprise for Cowboys bettors. The team has allowed less than 18 points per game which is the fewest points in the league. They are 5th in yards per play against and 3rd in passing yards allowed. However, they are only 19th in the league in sacks, and have only generated 6 turnovers on the year. Some of their strong defensive numbers are a result of their opponents being conservative on offense to not give the Cowboys a short field. Tennessee will utilize the same strategy, moving the ball and getting points, but also playing the field position game to make Dallas drive the length of the field to score. Is that angle enough for you to give your bookie action on Titans +6.5? Keith Allen gives his Week 9 MNF prediction and analysis.

Detroit owns two very impressive wins over the Patriots and Packers but they have also been on the wrong side of the scoreboard against the Jets and Niners. The jury is appropriately still out on Matt Patricia but it looks very much like this roster and his system are adding up to an 8-8 kind of team. The Lions are 16th in total offense, 16th in rush yards and 17th in points at 24.4 per game. Bookmakers have the Lions as 4.5 point underdogs. Does Patricia have enough to cover the spread for Lions backers?

We know what the Falcons are going to do. Everyone knows. Matt Ryan is going to attempt to play catch all day with Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley. Ryan is quietly putting together an MVP type season and if Atlanta can continue to win in spite of the injuries, I can see him getting some legit consideration down the stretch. Does this game set up well for Atlanta’s offense to propel them to get the win outright? Bob Clark gives his football pick.

Pittsburgh played maybe their best game of the season Sunday but it wasn’t flawless. There are still some things on the defensive end that need to be shored up if they’re going to avenge their Week 4 loss to the Ravens this coming Sunday. Are the Steelers that much of a better team than they were in week 4 and do they have what it takes to stay within a field goal here? Rick Wise gives his prediction.

While Mahomes is the vast majority of what make this offense tick, there are a number of crucial moving parts, many of which came out to play on Sunday. Kareem Hunt carried 16 times for 50 yards and added another 5 catches for 36 yards and a touchdown, Sammy Watkins, who had his biggest day in a Chiefs uniform, snagged 8 receptions for 107 yards and 2 touchdowns,Travis Kelce caught 6 passes for 79 yards and a touchdown and Tyreek Hill had three catches for 70 yards. Will it take this same balanced attack to cover the bookmaker’s 8 point spread? Rick Wise gives his NFL prediction!

Miami has controlled the ebb and flow of this divisional rivalry as of late as they have won four of the last five contests between both sides. In the last episode of New York vs. Miami, the Dolphins defeated the Jets 20-12 on September 16th at the Meadowlands. Sportsbook have the Fins favored by a FG to take it again. Keith Franks explains why the Jets are the play!

The Chicago offense was far from great, but they did enough to ensure the win after another dominant performance from the defense. Jets quarterback Sam Darnold was held to his lowest output of the season, finishing 14-of-29 for 153 yards and 1 touchdown, while the Jets ground game was stuffed for 57 total yards. That recipe against the Bills is why sportsbooks have Buffalo as 9 point dogs but can they put up a better game?

Maybe the betting public is again falling for the “Fitz-Magic” deal. As bad as Tampa has played and as well as Carolina has looked, the sportsbooks have reported that the public action so far loves the Buccaneers. 55% thinks that Tampa goes into Charlotte and keeps this game closer than the touchdown spread. 55% is a lot considering the favorite is almost always the way Joe P bets!

Home field advantage in the NFL is not one size fits all. Although there is a general narrative that home field is always worth 3 points, some teams have almost no advantage playing at home such as the 2 LA teams (the crowd in last week’s Rams vs Packers game was predominantly Green Bay fans despite a 7-0 Ram team), San Francisco and Cincinnati. So sportsbooks should price the Saints with a big home advantage right? Well, that stat also means the Rams are adept at playing against the crowd. Keith Allen gives his take and his free NFL pick.

After watching Houston in week eight, I came to a few conclusions. First off, the Houston Texas are good…real good. After starting 0-3, things looked grim for Houston but now they have won five in a row and find themselves in first place in the AFC South Division. Deshaun Watson is heating up and the Houston defense is also starting to come into its own. Even during the 0-3 start, Houston was competitive in all three losses with every loss was a by one score or less. The Texans showed character. Bookies and sports bettors are taking notice.