NFL Football Picks

With a win to bring the club to 500 and some key pieces returning for week 5, the New England Patriots suddenly feel like a team with momentum. The sportsbook’s line reflects that with a Pats -10 spread at home. Mike Mann makes his NFL week 5 pick here and breaks down injuries, match-ups and team trends.

Kevin West: “I wasn’t surprised to learn that the public is siding with KC, as the media is blasting Pat Mahomes mania after the barrage of touchdowns he’s thrown. What did surprise me was that only 34% of bettors are backing the Broncs. Within that 34% are sharp bettors/wiseguys with ear to ear smiles.” Kevin breaks down the Monday game where sportsbooks currently have the Chiefs as 5 point favorites.

Last season, the Niners were flat on their backs until Jimmy G showed up and immediately put the Niners on the right path. Without him, it’s only fair to wonder if we’ll see the same team we saw early last season. Sportsbooks are hanging a -10 on the Chargers. For those of us who backed San Fran last year, it doesn’t feel like enough. Do the Chargers have the killer instinct to put a hobbled Niner team down?

Poor QB play has made the Cardinals’ cast ineffective. David Johnson is sitting at 116 yards rushing and hasn’t made an impact. Larry Fitzgerald is at 113 yards. Young ball-catchers and former Texas A&M products Christian Kirk and Ricky Seals-Jones are nice weapons, but there is nothing nice about 20 points of scoring through three games. Will the birds’ offense remain grounded on Sunday? Loot makes his NFL pick.

Online sportsbooks have the Raiders -2.5. Many people will look at this game and measure the teams against their expectations, as opposed to the match up against each other. By an expectations-standard, the Browns have been far-better than the Raiders, but are they better than the Raiders overall? That’s a trickier question. Let’s try to answer that question and make our pick.

Bob Clark reviews the first three games for Indianapolis and Houston and focuses on strength of schedule before making his NFL pick. Bob also has a total play for this Sunday game.

Bob Clark anticipates a hard nosed, low scoring affair between two average offenses and two amazing defenses. Bookmakers have the over/under set at 41 points. Read Bob’s pick on the spread and total play.

Loot Levinson warns against overreacting to the Cowboys loss or the beatdown the Lions placed upon the New England Patriots. Loot analyzes the state of both teams and who will cover the spread in week 4.

The Cleveland Browns finally won a football game against you guessed it, the New York Jets. The Jets were also smoked at home at the hands of a divisional rival. If you told the Jets they would have the same record as the Pats going into week 4 they would probably have been pretty happy but instead they head to Jacksonville where sportsbooks have them pegged to lose by 8.

The Patriots have lost back-to-back games only nine times since Tom Brady took over as quarterback in 2001, and the fact that they were so clearly outplayed in both their previous games only adds another level of concern from an already hyper-reactionary fan and media base. See why Mike Mann believes the Pats will get it done and cover the -6.5.