NFL Football Picks
Two teams that sharps and wiseguys thought would crush last week and they both went down. This is one of the more confusing games of Week 16 as nobody, including sharp bettors, can predict the outcome of this game. Check out Loot’s take and prediction on how he thinks the LAR/SF game will play out.
In a matchup with major divisional playoff implications, the 11-3 New England Patriots host the 10-4 Buffalo Bills for a Saturday afternoon showdown at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro. The Patriots have dominated the series since 2001, going 33-3 in their last 36 meetings including a 16-2 mark at home.
Expect fireworks in this Week 16 NFL matchup as neither secondary is likely to be able to stop the opposing offense. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are still a live dog despite injuries to their two top wide receivers as the Texans defense has been very poor since the departure of J.J. Watt.
We were a bit surprised to see the Colts open as +9 underdogs against the Saints defense, who got ripped apart by the Niners last week. It’s especially interesting seeing as though the Colts have only lost once by more than nine points this season. Keith’s calling for a shootout! See who he’s betting in this Week 15 thriller!
The San Francisco 49ers pulled off an exciting in last week at New Orleans. They’re getting a bit much love from oddsmakers here though, as they’re currently sitting at -11 vs. the Atlanta Falcons, who have also been playing decent. Can the Dirty Birds stay warm at the betting windows or will SF continue to impose their will at home where they’re won twelve of the last fourteen in SF vs. Atlanta?
Things change during the NFL season. At one point just a few short weeks ago, the Cowboys were surging and the Rams were sinking. Now in Week 15, the scenario is just the opposite. The +3 point spread here tells us all we need to know.
Something has to give! Both of these teams have played stellar against NFC North foes as the Bears are 9-2 ATS in their last eleven and the Packers have covered their last 6 vs. division opponents. Oddsmakers have these teams valued nearly evenly, with the Lambeau home field advantage bumping the line to -4.5 in favor of GB. This game will likely play out closer than most think.
The Minnesota Vikings are in a “false favorite” situation here. With an overall record of 9-4 straight up and 7-6 against the spread, they find themselves in a real bad spot in Week 15 against a Los Angeles Chargers team that they don’t match up with very well. Kirk Cousins is horrible when pressured and he’ll get all he can handle from Bosa and Ingram. The Bolts are a live dog here!
Week 15 will show us what the Patriots are made of. After back to back losses and the end of their home winning streak, they get a creampuff road matchup vs. the Cincinnati Bengals, or is it? Bill Belichick is known for taking away the opponents best weapon. Cincinnati really only has one, so in theory, the Pats should be able to bang out a win here.
Two teams playing some pretty decent football Sunday when the Bills visit Heinz Field to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Buffalo went into Dallas a couple weeks ago and blasted the Cowboys and then held tough with the Ravens, but couldn’t get it done. There’s nothing to be ashamed of there though, as the Baltimore may be this season’s Super Bowl winner. On the flip side, Pittsburgh has been playing decent ball, but against weak opposition. We’re predicting that the Terrible Towels will be terrible in Week 15.
The Arizona Cardinals have one of the worst secondaries we’ve seen in years. Not even the bad coaching of Freddie Kitchens will stop Baker Mayfield, Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham from having a big day through the air. This Week 15 matchup has shootout written all over it!
“Auto bet” isn’t a word in my vocabulary, however, it almost became one when I saw this week 15 matchup. The Jacksonville Jaguars have quit. The man with the mustache seems to be trying, but it’s all for not when your run defense parts like the Red Sea! The Raiders are a run first team that should thrive Sunday vs. a Jags team that never got off the bus last week.
When two teams meet in Week 15, there’s no way that we should be able to count their combined wins on one hand. That’s the case Sunday, as the G-Men are -3 against the Miami Dolphins who have surprisingly shown life over the past month behind Brian Flores and Ryan Fitzpatrick. This is a tricky game to bet. Get Keith’s take before making your final prediction!
If you hang around a Vegas sportsbook long enough, you’ll hear the phrase “A team is only as good as their last game.” While this may be the case from time to time, it has no merit in this Week 15 NFL spot, as many are undervaluing the Texans after being shellacked last week by the Denver Broncos. Meanwhile, bettors are daydreaming about Derrick Henry scampering for big runs. Sharps are licking their chops to bet the Texans here!
The Philadelphia Eagles may be the worst 6-7 NFL team in quite some time. The public views Philly as a decent team so oddmakers are constantly inflating their point spreads as evidenced by their 4-9 record ATS. The Washington Redskins will be a live underdog in Week 15, assuming that they’re not tanking!
The Carolina Panthers can’t stop running backs, can’t stop wide receivers and can’t stop tight ends. How are they going to beat a Seahawks club who are playing good ball, despite their loss last week at L.A. (which was a bad matchup for them)? The west coast to east coast travel angle is the only negative for Seattle in this matchup where Carolina’s defense has looked like a wet paper bag as of late.